מקורות

Building a foresight system in the government: Lessons from 11 countries, Policy Horizons Canada, Government of Canada, 2017  https://www.ffcoi.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Building-a-Foresight-System-in-the-Govt-Lessons-from-11-Countries_Oct-2017.pdf

Daheim C, CORPORATE FORESIGHT. How to organize, run and manage a corporate foresight exercise. Examples and experiences.

Foresight Methodologies Textbook, Training Module 2, United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO),

FORLEARN: How to Do Foresight, http://www.foresight-platform.eu/community/forlearn/how-to-do-foresight/

Fuller T., and Larue D., The implementation of foresight in organisations, a structural issue? University of Durham Business School, 2000,  https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/THE-QUEST-FOR-THE-FUTURES-%3A-A-METHODOLOGY-SEMINAR-%2C-Fuller-Larue/59694af6cfffc9f99a42811f2ebf38081ed4111a

Hines, A., An audit for organizational futurists: ten questions every organizational futurist should be able to answer, foresight 5 ,1 2003 , pp. 20-33, http://houstonfutures.org/OurWork/FacultyProjects/organizational%20futurist%20audit%20foresight%202003.pdf

How do I implement strategic foresight in my organization? Chapter 4 in Toward Future Readiness: A Playbook for Building Foresight Capacity, INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE, https://www.yccd.edu/central-services/education-and-planning/strategic-plan-development-process/iftf_vantage_futurereadinessplaybook_chapter4of4/

Miles I., FORESIGHT ORGANISATION AND MANAGEMENT, UNIDO Regional Initiative on Technology Foresight, Gebze (Turkey) November 2007

M Minkkinen, L Pouru & A Neuvonen, Diverse Foresight Helps in Facing Surprising Futures, Apr. 2020,

Policy Horizons Canada: https://horizons.gc.ca/en/home/

UNDP: Foresight Manual: Empowered Futures for the 2030 Agenda

UNIDO TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT MANUAL Organization and Methods Volume 1, Module 2: Organizing A Technology Foresight Exercise

רשימת מקורות כל הפרק

יובל נח הררי, "21 מחשבות על המאה ה-21", 2018

"כלי חיזוי" (תת פרק "ניסיונה של חברת של בתרחישים"), פרק 3 בספר "ניהול הארגון כגוף חי" מאת ארי דה-חיס, הוצאת מטר, 1998

מה הן מגמות העתיד הכלליות ובתחום החינוך, ניתוח STEEP, מנהל הפיתוח, מנהל עו"ה, המנהל הפדגוגי, משרד החינוך, https://dialogim.wixsite.com/m21mop/steep-megamot

About Futures Diamond: The Framework  https://www.futuresdiamond.com/the-diamond/

Axes of Uncertainty - The Future Today Institute:

https://futuretodayinstitute.com/mu_uploads/2019/08/FTI_Axes.pdf

https://futuretodayinstitute.com/mu_uploads/2020/04/Axes-FTI.pdf

Axes of Uncertainty Foresight Game, http://sikt.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/AmyWebb-Workshop-dokument-SIKT2020.pdf

Backcasting 101:  https://www.slideshare.net/mmilan/backcasting-101-final-public

 

Barber M., “Wildcards – Signals from a future near you”, Journal of Futures Studies, Aug. 2006, https://jfsdigital.org/articles-and-essays/2006-2/vol-11-no-1-august/articles/wildcards-signals-from-a-future-near-you/

 

Beyond the Horizon: foresight in support of future EU Research and Innovation Policy: Data from a Delphi survey in support of future European Union policies in research and innovation (BOHEMIA Project) 2017, https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/d1ea6c83-e538-11e7-9749-01aa75ed71a1/language-en/format-PDF/source-60761593

Building a foresight system in the government: Lessons from 11 countries, Policy Horizons Canada, Government of Canada, 2017  https://www.ffcoi.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Building-a-Foresight-System-in-the-Govt-Lessons-from-11-Countries_Oct-2017.pdf

Cuhls, K. E., “Horizon Scanning in Foresight – Why Horizon Scanning is only

a part of the game”, Nov. 2019  https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.23

Daheim C, CORPORATE FORESIGHT. How to organize, run and manage a corporate foresight exercise. Examples and experiences

Data from a Delphi survey in support of future European Union policies in research and innovation (BOHEMIA foresight study),  https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/d1ea6c83-e538-11e7-9749-01aa75ed71a1/language-en/format-PDF/source-60761593

Dator, Jim,  What Futures Studies Is, and Is Not, http://www.futures.hawaii.edu/publications/futures-studies/WhatFSis1995.pdf

Dean M., Scenario Planning: A Literature Review, 2019        www.researchgate.net/publication/343722823_Scenario_Planning_A_Literature_Review/

Dufva, M., Knowledge creation in foresight - a practice- and systems-oriented view, 2015, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/289893600_Knowledge_creation_in_foresight_-_a_practice-_and_systems-oriented_view

Fast-start technology roadmapping (PPT presentation), https://slideplayer.com/slide/5940744/

Fergnani A., Wild Cards: What They Are and How to Use Them in Futures & Foresight, 2021

Foresight Methodologies - Text Book, United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), https://www.researchgate.net/publication/323015413_Foresight_Methodologies_-_Text_book

Foresight Maturity Model, http://www.foresightalliance.com/resources/foresight-maturity-model/

FORLEARN - http://www.foresight-platform.eu/community/forlearn

Futures Wheel, The Millennium Project, Futures Research Methodology—V3.0, http://www.millennium-project.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/06-Futures-Wheel.pdf

FMM Presentation,  http://www.foresightalliance.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/FMM-Download-4-30-JLC.ppt

Foresight Methodologies Textbook, Training Module 2, United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO),

Fuller T., and Larue D., The implementation of foresight in organisations, a structural issue? University of Durham Business School, 2000,  https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/THE-QUEST-FOR-THE-FUTURES-%3A-A-METHODOLOGY-SEMINAR-%2C-Fuller-Larue/59694af6cfffc9f99a42811f2ebf38081ed4111a

ForLearn: Online Foresight Guide, European Foresight Platform, http://www.foresight-platform.eu/community/forlearn/

Futures Consciousness Profile  https://fctest.utu.fi/

Gidley, Jennifer M., The Future: A Very Short Introduction, 2017, https://global.oup.com/academic/product/the-future-a-very-short-introduction-9780198735281

Global Futures and Foresight (GFF), Methods & Tools, https://www.thegff.com/methods-tools

Global Centre for Public Service Excellence (2018): ‘Relating Scenarios and Strategies’ in Foresight Manual: Empowered Futures for the 2030 Agenda. Singapore: UNDP. www.undp.org/content/dam/undp/library/capacity-development/English/Singapore%20Centre/UNDP_ForesightManual_2018.pdf

Groff L. and Shaffer R., Complex Adaptive Systems And Futures Thinking: Theories, Applications and Methods, 2008, https://houstonfutures.org/OurWork/FacultyProjects/systemsthinking.pdf

Grim T., Foresight Maturity Model (FMM):Achieving Best Practices in the Foresight Field,  Journal of Futures Studies, May 2009

Hauptman A. and Faran D., Decision-Validity-Tracking (DVT): A New Approach for Discontinuity Early Detection, 2004, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/326741539_Decision-Validity-Tracking_DVT_A_New_Approach_for_Discontinuity_Early_Detection

Hauptman A. and Steinmüller K., “Surprising Scenarios. Imagination as a Dimension of Foresight” Chapter in the book: Envisioning Uncertain Futures, Springer, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-25074-4_4

Hiltunen E.,  “Was It a Wild Card or Just Our Blindness to Gradual Change?”, Journal of Futures Studies, November 2006, 11(2): 61 – 74

Hiltunen, E., Basic Concepts of Foresight Work, https://www.whatsnext.fi/infographic/

Hines, A., An audit for organizational futurists: ten questions every organizational futurist should be able to answer, foresight 5 ,1 2003 , pp. 20-33, http://houstonfutures.org/OurWork/FacultyProjects/organizational%20futurist%20audit%20foresight%202003.pdf

Hines, A., "Evolution of framework foresight", Foresight, June 2020.

Horizon Scanning, DPMC, New Zealand https://dpmc.govt.nz/our-programmes/policy-project/policy-methods-toolbox/futures-thinking/horizon-scanning

How do I implement strategic foresight in my organization? Chapter 4 in Toward Future Readiness: A Playbook for Building Foresight Capacity, INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE, https://www.yccd.edu/central-services/education-and-planning/strategic-plan-development-process/iftf_vantage_futurereadinessplaybook_chapter4of4/

Javidiani & Behboudi, Futures Wheel, Practical Frameworks for Ethical Design, Nov 2018

www.slideshare.net/SDNCanada/futures-wheel-practical-frameworks-for-ethical-design-by-mazi-javidiani-majid-behboudi

https://online.visual-paradigm.com/diagrams/templates/futures-wheel/futures-wheel-template/

Jørgensen, M.  and Grosu, D. (2007): Literature review of foresight visioning: “Visions and visioning in foresight activities”, in From Oracles to Dialogue; Exploring New Ways to Explore the Future: Proceedings The COST A22 network.

http://orbit.dtu.dk/files/3365377/Paper_75_MSJ_CostA22%20Conf.pdf

Lalot F. et al, “Aware of the Future? Development and Validation of the Futures Consciousness Scale”, European Journal of Psychological Assessment (2020)

Lederman L.M. and Carrigan R. A., (1987), What Fraction of the U.S. GNP Makes Use of Devices Invented as a Result of the Success of the Quantum Theory of the Atom

Markley O., (2014): “Imaginal Visioning for Prophetic Foresight”, Journal of Futures Studies, Vol 17(1): 5–25. https://jfsdigital.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/171-A01-NEW.pdf

Miles I., FORESIGHT ORGANISATION AND MANAGEMENT, UNIDO Regional Initiative on Technology Foresight, Gebze (Turkey) November 2007

Mindtime survey https://www.mindtime.com/

Minkkinen N, Pouru L, & Neuvonen A, Diverse Foresight Helps in Facing Surprising Futures, Apr. 2020,

Petersen J., and Steinmueller K., Chapter 10: Wild Cards, Futures Research Methodologies, Futures Research Methodology, Millennium Project, http://www.millennium-project.org/publications-2/futures-research-methodology-version-3-0/

Policy Horizons Canada: https://horizons.gc.ca/en/home/

Project iKNOW: http://wiwe.iknowfutures.org/

RAND, Delphi Method, https://www.rand.org/topics/delphi-method.html

 

Ramos J, (2017): “Futures Visioning”, Blog from Action Foresight. http://actionforesight.net/narrative-foresight/

Real-Time Delphi in practice — A comparative analysis of existing software-based tools

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0040162517301117

Researchers Hope to Automate Horizon Scanning, 2019  https://dzone.com/articles/researchers-hope-to-automate-horizon-scanning

Robinson, J. (1982): Energy backcasting: a proposed method of policy analysis. Energy Policy 10 4

Robinson, J. (2003): Backcasting as social learning. Futures, Volume 35, Issue 8, www.researchgate.net/publication/223711174_Future_Subjunctive_Backcasting_as_Social_Learning

 

Saritas, O., Systemic Foresight Methodology, 2013 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/283395768_Systemic_Foresight_Methodology

Schwartz, P., “The Art of the Long View – Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World”, Currency Doubleday,1996

Schwartz, P. & Randall, D. (2007). "Anticipating Strategic Surprises", Chapter in F. Fukuyama (Ed.), Blindside - How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press

Shaping Tomorrow: https://www.shapingtomorrow.com/media-centre/pf-ch03.pdf

Sharpe, B., Three Horizons: The Patterning of Hope, International Futures Forum, https://www.internationalfuturesforum.com/p/three-horizons-the-patterning-of-hope

 

Sharpe, B., et al. 2016, Three horizons: a pathways practice for transformation. Ecology and Society 21(2):47.         https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol21/iss2/art47/

Snijders D. et al, Scenarios for ICT-Related Education: A Qualitative Meta-Analysis, Journal of Futures Studies, December 2018, 23(2): 13–28,  https://jfsdigital.org/articles-and-essays/2018-2/scenarios-for-ict-related-education-a-qualitative-meta-analysis/

Strategic Futures Analysis Techniques: Using Scenarios to Develop and Test Strategies/ Policies, https://samiconsulting.co.uk/techniques-using-scenarios/

Taleb, N., The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. 2007

The Concept of Futures Consciousness: https://futuresconsciousness.utu.fi/concept/

THE FUTURE IS OURS: Strategic Foresight toolkit – making better decisions, Save the Children UK and School of International Futures 2019, https://resourcecentre.savethechildren.net/node/16327/pdf/strategic_foresight_toolkit_online.pdf

Three Horizons Framework, ITC Foresight Toolkit,  https://training.itcilo.org/delta/Foresight/3-Horizons.pdf

Three horizons: a pathways practice for transformation, 2016          https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol21/iss2/art47/

The Future Today Institute's 14th Annual Tech Trends Report, 2021, https://futuretodayinstitute.com/trends/

The Millennium Project, Futures Research Methodology—V3.0

UK Government Office for Science’s, Futures Toolkit

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/674209/futures-toolkit-edition-1.pdf

UNDP: Foresight Manual: Empowered Futures for the 2030 Agenda

UNIDO TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT MANUAL Organization and Methods Volume 1, Module 2: Organizing A Technology Foresight Exercise

Voros J., The Futures Cone, use and history, 2017, https://thevoroscope.com/2017/02/24/the-futures-cone-use-and-history/

Voros J., Big History and Anticipation: Using Big History as a framework for global foresight, 2017, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/318858494_Big_History_and_Anticipation_Using_Big_History_as_a_framework_for_global_foresight

Webb A., How Futurists Cope With Uncertainty, 2020,  https://medium.com/swlh/how-futurists-cope-with-uncertainty-a4fbdff4b8c6

Wheelwright V.,  Small Business Foresight, 2012 http://docshare04.docshare.tips/files/12196/121960221.pdf

Wind Tunneling, https://colab.alberta.ca/Mtds/Adapt/Pages/Wind.aspx